Guide Horse's Breeding Prices

its kidding me!
just a second ago it was red and showed the link extension &action=edit&link=red
and now its blue...

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maybe my brower messed it up with the cache
sry :)

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about the horses again:
did you read my reply about the simulation i did?
its at the and of yunos thread

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my program made ~4.5x10^9 breeds (all tiers together)

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black: 4,029,724,114
chestnut: 484,555,760
white: 35,436,806

sum: 4,549,716,680

how much would that cost in the game? ;D
would be more than all emeralds ever farmed on wynncraft, i think...

 

#YunoIs5Op7ThisWorld!!!!

 

Considering that it takes roughly 16.3 le to breed a chestnut, and they're sold on average for 20-30 le, I see a way to make a profit.

 

chestnuts are a great way to make money (1/30 gets sold for 15-18 le and a 30/30 for ~23le) whites aren't that profitable yet.
buy low leveled chestnuts, ride them, sell for 23le, profit.
please don't lock this

 

Agreed. Topic is still relevant so locking is not necessary.

 

lol this math xD

 

Topic is pretty much always necessary

 

Until jumjum will change the breeding chances and I'll have to calculate everything again

 

Then you'll have to reference this thread as an archive of what horse breeding prices and chances used to be.

 

Or just edit in the new prices

 

And confuse the heck out of everyone who reads the comments and wonders what in the heck they were referring to.

 

Kepler's numbers are likely more accurate as he ran each horse tier for an hour while my whole program only ran for ~30 seconds, but here's what I found
(N=10,000,000 trials)

20% success, 50% neutral, 30% fail
Black: 2.25 LE
Chestnut: 16.31 LE
White: 118.98 LE

Just for fun, here are some results with different success rates (fail chance is left constant at 30%)
(N=1,000,000+ trials)

success -10% || 10% success, 60% neutral, 30% fail
Black: 4.11 LE
Chestnut: 56.62 LE
White: 781.07 LE

success +10% || 30% success, 40% neutral, 30% fail
Black: 1.62 LE
Chestnut: 8.30 LE
White: 42.62 LE

success +20% || 40% success, 30% neutral, 30% fail
Black: 1.31 LE
Chestnut: 5.30 LE
White: 21.54 LE

success +30% || 50% success, 20% neutral, 30% fail
Black: 1.12 LE
Chestnut: 3.82 LE
White: 13.09 LE

success +40% || 60% success, 10% neutral, 30% fail
Black: 1.00 LE
Chestnut: 2.98 LE
White: 8.94 LE

success +50% || 70% success, 0% neutral, 30% fail
Black: 0.91 LE
Chestnut: 2.44 LE
White: 6.58 LE

A graph is included at the end of this post if you actually care haha. I think it's interesting how lower tier horse costs increase only marginally as the success chance decreases but higher tier horses become more expensive quite rapidly.

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I attached the code I wrote below if you want to try it yourself. You'll need to change the extension from .txt to .cpp and compile it. I made it easy to modify for other values in case the price of the brown horse or the success/fail rates for breeding change. Simply change the numbers after the

#define PRICE
#define SUCCESS
#define FAIL

to the new values (note that SUCCESS should be one minus the chance of success so 20% aka 0.2 is 1-0.2=0.8). Everything else can be left unchanged unless they added a new tier of horse in which case you'll have to change more (although it shouldn't be too much work to adapt).

 

Nice program!
Mine is coded in Java and uses some more loops... But thats all style related ;)
The important thing: Same results!
Thy for your work and post :)

 

Most useful necro ever

 

Don't close this, it is a helpful thread.

 

*moves glasses up* Ummm it hasn't been a month, so technically it isn't a necrooooo

 

May 14th to jul 10 was good enough

 

This thread must live on.

 

I just checked the like stats on Szei's post, because it was his first post on the forum.
Atm it's a 600% like/post ratio :D
Did anyone ever get this before? ;)

 

@Nymphia