Any Profession Crafting Probabilty Calculator

This is a utility for calculating what are your chances of getting good identifications on the items you craft.

Let's take an example: this ring, which is meant for loot bonus. Seeing as you can get a roll as low as 22, or a very good roll of up to 33, you may want to know how many times you are going to need to craft this to get a decent roll.
Well this tool can do that for you: all you have to do, is:

1. Look at your wynndata recipe. As seen in my recipe, we have one old treasure with +101% effectiveness, one with +141%, and one with +26%. Also note what are the ranges of your selected identification is (for me loot bonus) on each item.​
2. Enter into the website: the minimum amount of your identification (loot bonus for me) on the first ingredient (4) and the maximum (6), and the ingredient effectiveness (101). Now, add two more ingredient rolls, and do the same for the next ingredients (for me that is two more).​
3. Hit generate. Take the output and paste it into the box in the website below, and hit calculate. It will now show what are your chances with each outcome.​
4. Profit.​

WEBSITE LINK

If you want to see the results of my item, you can see them here:

Spoiler: Results

Note: Here I added "> 29" to see what the chances of me getting a roll of 30 or higher is.

As you can see, I would have to craft this roughly four times in order to get a roll of 30 or higher.

*This website uses another website known as https://anydice.com in order to calculate the probabilities. All my site does is print out the line that generates the probabilities in that website.

Enjoy!

 

I'm assuming this does take into account impossible rolls?

 

I'm not sure what you mean. If you mean things like making the minimum above the max, then no, it doesn't do anything against that.

 

https://wynndata.tk/cr/607720529
18, 20, and 22 lq rolls are impossible to roll on this recipe correct? (Talking about this)

 

Well, according to anydice.com, that is correct:

 

Lit ok thanks

 

Cool calculator. Been doing the same thing myself for a while on a different dice simulator and writing the inputs by hand. Your calculator part does break with negative numbers though.

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Example of a recipe that causes weird behavior with your calculator: https://wynndata.tk/cr/852449328

The dice simulator website itself works fine if you do the math by hand. Also interesting to note that wynndata has a bug when using negative IDs flipped to be positive, that causes the ranges to be calculated incorrectly and display higher minimums and lower maximums.

 

huh, it seems to bug out if you put 10+ as max roll- it doesn't calc anything

 

fixed

fixed

This is actually really weird: because when doing the calculations by hand (and then checked them also with the now working calculator), I got that the maximum should be 69, but wynndata says it is 65 - So this isn't a problem with the calculator.
I am going to report this on the wynndata discord.

 

Like I said, it’s a bug in wynndata. I told dukioooo about it like 6 months ago and it’s still not fixed.

 

May I ask what program you used for the dice simulator? If I can find one with an API that would be great.

 

https://topps.diku.dk/torbenm/troll.msp