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Serious Mathematics Pro In Need! : D (explain Something To Me)

Discussion in 'Nemract's Bar' started by Orange Wybel, Jun 14, 2016.

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Math

  1. Math!

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  1. Orange Wybel

    Orange Wybel Fluffy Orange Ball of Death

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    I am fully aware that i may sound very very stupid in this post >.< , but ill accept it in the name of knowledge.

    Do not read the spoiler below if you're only here for math
    I came home from school yesterday and saw my brother playing Hearthstone. He asked me if i thought his deck was good so i said i would make a spreadsheet for him that would automatically calculate his win rates . I made the spreadsheet and showed him where he needed to enter his values after every game . I had a column that calculated his total win rate .I also had a column for his win rate against different classes to find out which classes his deck was weak against. I had it calculate his win rate per class and check if it was above average . If it was above average the number would be blue , if it was below average it would be in red . (I also made a table for him that would show what is in meta but that is a secret to us >:P)

    The next day , he had played a ton of games and he showed me his spreadsheet and something didn't add up. The program was turning things red even if they were above the total win rate so i calculated the "Avg of the Avg win rate per class " and it wasnt equal to the total win rate , which i had previously believed would be equal. And now i would like someone to correct me :D

    P.S. The values below are not his actual win rates because he wants it to be a secret so that people don't copy his deck (Not like they know what OP Deck he's playing anyways >.<)

    The Question:
    *Avg=Mean

    Class-----/Win--/Games Played(win+loss)|--Avg Win Rate Per Class
    A_____/_2__/_5______________|___(2/5)*100%=40%
    B_____/_1__/_2______________|___(1/2)*100%=50%
    C_____/_3__/_3______________|___(3/3)*100%=100%

    Totals__/_6__/_10________

    Using Totals
    Avg Win Rate = (6/10)*100%
    _________=60%

    Using Avg Win Rate Per Class
    Avg Win Rate = (40%+50%+100%)/3
    __________=63.33%

    Why can i not use my avg win rate per class to find my avg win rate?
    I think the one using totals is my "True Win Rate " .
    I'd like for you to prove to me mathematically that i can't use avg win rate per class to calculate the avg win rate.

    Thank you so much for taking the time to read my (badly written/Unmathematically written) question. :)
    I would appreciate it soooo much if you take the time to help me correct my misconception :D
     
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  2. Kalmer

    Kalmer Famous Adventurer VIP+

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    I'm not really good at that, but don't you have to multiply the chance by the amount of tries then divide it by tries? e.g:
    (5x40%+2x50%+3x100%)/10 = 60%
    I'm not sure though, I could be wrong!
     
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  3. Orange Wybel

    Orange Wybel Fluffy Orange Ball of Death

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    You are right! :D
    Thanks sooooo much for helping me !

    I have the solution to my problem now and i would love it if someone wants to explain in more detail why the formula is like that or add anything extra or even have some interesting maths concepts :D
     
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  4. Kalmer

    Kalmer Famous Adventurer VIP+

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    you're welcome! :D I have fun doing math, but I'm not the best at it so i didnt know if it was correct^^
     
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  5. RaccoonRoss

    RaccoonRoss Friend of Raccoons

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    I left this thread a lot less confident than before.
     
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