I just found a mythic in my daily rewards

oh ALSO this was the first at level chest since i got level 68, so i literally got a mythic first try.

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Can someone calculate the odds of mythic FIRST TRY

 

Cool. What was your daily streak at?

 

5, but it was stil first try for the level i was at, which was minimum for mythic

 

If the mythic rate's still 7/1,000,000, I'd say 1 in 20k is probably a decent guess.
I could very well have the entire item generation system wrong though.

 

wait shouldnt it be RARER to get it first try?

 

no, thats called the gambler's fallacy
There is no increased chance unless there is a hidden pity system which i don't think exists

low

 

no what i mean is with 1/20k odds thats MORE COMMON, it shouldnt be rarer then getting it AT ALL, but it should be AS COMMON

 

The reason why its 1/20k (supposedly) rather than 7/1m is that the 7/1m is rolled for each unid box, so since there are 8 boxes that would be maybe 1/17.8k
And yes, it is as common as any other daily reward chest

 

oh neat we're in the same club

(it was a dawnbreak)

 

No, this wasnt objective rewards, it was daily chest lol. Also it just seems unfair that getting it first try is statistically as common as anything else. Mods plz fix laws of statistics. Bug reported
Im joking, but I think i might be the lowest leveled person ever to get one in that way, because i JUST hit level 68

 

sorry to ruin it for u but archangel can drop from level 65+ and pure from 61+

 

carpets

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still rare right?

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so i didnt even get it first try 3: :T

 

psure the level ranges for daily rewards are even wider than +-4