Horse

I just got my first horse.
Should I buy a new horse and breed them? Or should I just level this 1 horse up

 

If you think the rng gods are on your side, then yes. However, there is only a 20% chance to succeed and get a higher tier (with a 50% chance to fail and a 30% chance to fail and go to a lower tier, but if it's a brown horse it will remain brown), so usually it is better to save money to buy a higher tier horse from a player rather than try to breed one.

 

In the shop there is only 1 type of horse. Its brown

 

I am aware, hence the reason I said it is better to save up money to buy a higher tier horse from a player, not a shop.

 

But how do people get different breed horses?

 

They breed them and get EXTREMELY lucky and get higher tier horses

 

You can buy higher tier horses from players in for example the trade market section of the forums. Doing this is often cheaper than trying to breed horses as the market prices are lower than the average cost to breed it. You could get lucky but many people have wasted lots of emeralds buying horses because there's an 80% chance you don't get a higher tier horse.

 

People who are lucky get them from breeding horses (which relates back to your question).
If you breed 2 brown horses, you have a 20% chance to succeed and get a black, a 30% chance to fail and go down a tier (but since brown is the lowest it will remain brown), and a 50% chance to fail and stay brown.
If you breed 2 black horses, you have a 20% chance to succeed and get a chestnut, a 30% chance to fail and get a brown horse, and a 50% chance to fail and get a black horse.
If you breed 2 chestnut horses, you have a 20% chance to succeed and get a white horse, a 30% chance to fail and get a black horse, and a 50% chance to fail and get a chestnut horse.

Due to the much higher chance of you failing to get a better horse via breeding, it is usually better to buy them from players who have been lucky enough to have bred said horses.

 

Oh okay. Do you know how much would a white horse be worth when its in its low levels?

 

Horse price ranges, as bought from players:
Balck - 1.5-2 LE
Chestnut - 12-18 LE
White - 65-85 LE

Average breeding costs:
Black - around 2 LE
Chestnut - around 18-20 LE
White - around 118 LE

For a first playthrough (or even a second, unless you've made quite a bit of money) I would just use a Brown for a while, breed to Black around level 50, and upgrade your Black horse to 25 max speed at Galleon's Graveyard dungeon in the early lvl 60s.

 

Okay thank you very much. Ill use your advice

 

the luckiest a person can get is breeding a white horse from 8 brown horses, that chance of having 7 successful breeds is a row is (0,2^7)*100%=0,00128%

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so the luckiest person can get a white horse for 3 le

 

Has this ever happened?

 

I have no idea, it would be epic to see something like that on yt one day