Do Mythics Drop In Chests?

dont forget that chests have more than 1 item, so its much less than 142888 chests

 

150 lb on my slayer, 943 chests opened
199 lb on my warchief 1510 chests opened,

my luck is probably doubled because they are both mythic boots, aka common mythics

 

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But hey, 2k+ chests opened almost 3k, no mythics found again

 

outa my 5k chests I only found one, the rest I found grinding my balls off..

 

assuming each slot in the chest has a chance of containing a mythic, that'd be 27 (the number of slots in an individual chest) times our chance for getting a single mythic.
27(x*.000007) = 1 [where x is the number of chests still. Also NCR of 1 is always going to be the number of chests so I simplified it out of the equation]
x = (1/27)/.000007
x = 5291.00529 chests or exactly 1 27th of 142888 (142888/27 = 5292.14814815 is 1 off of our estimate which makes sense since I rounded to get 142888)
What does this mean: If every slot in a chest has exactly the same chance of containing a mythic (1/7 million) and there are 27 slots in a minecraft chest, then the chance of getting 1 mythic from 5292 is exactly %100. So The magical number that you *should* be expecting a mythic is 5292 DON'T BE SURPRISED IF YOU DON'T GET ONE BY THEN! Again all of the above calculations are theoretical. If everyone in wynncraft were sampled for the number of mythics they found, then that number was devided by the total number of chests opened in level ranges that contain mythics we'd "expect" it to normalize around ~5300-ish chests. Empirically (in practice) as an individual wynncraft player, you will likely vary greatly from that mean value. Again, RNG will give you a mythic when it feels like it. This mean value is the average of everyone in wynn, and not representative of outliers like myself, who found a mythic with less than 1k chests opened. We also don't have the exact drop chances for every mythic. We already know that every item in wynn has its own specific chance of dropping, therefore 1/7 million is likely not the exact value for every mythic, and shouldn't be taken as the true probability of mythic items appearing in chests. I don't think those chances will ever be released, and without all of the information on every mythic's drop chance, we cannot accurately predict the true '%100 chance' of getting a mythic in x number of chests.

 

oof, what mythic?

 

That's about normal according to my math.

 

https://imgur.com/a/VxqWm

 

gg

 

You are infact more luckier than me :/

I got common mythics meanwhile you got a mythic weapon which LITTERALLY HAS 7 IN A MILLION CHANCE OF OBTAINING

 

you will never find a mythic

 

5k chest, 160% lb and nothing yet

 

I just got my first mythic. It’s a Gaia.

 

And now 50 people msg him and be like "give u 5 emeralds for it"

 

It's exactly 7/999999. Close enough!

 

you opend 2K chest but like you can get a mythic from lvl 65 but low change lvl 90+ high change so its nit how manny chest you opend in total its how maby chest did you open on that lvl

probably less than 2K

 

well my friend found a cata and a spring in 1 week so

 

This post is rather old but i just want to say that Mythics can drop in Tier 1 chests too. Thats where I found mine.