Guide Sp Price Handbook Ft. Big Shaq

I heard you liked quick maths

DISCLAIMER: These calculations have purely theoretical bases. They were only meant to illustrate the difficulty of obtaining good items.

Given the recent rounding updates (very good change haha) I decided to do some mathematics at a comparatively high velocity to determine the new prices of items. Percentage chances for rolls are taken from wynndata

It is given that mythic drop chances are 7/1,000,000 = 0.0007%. A Minecraft account is 26.95 USD - rounded (selvut triggered) to 27 USD for the sake of speedy calculations.

20SP Prism Chance: 0.14^5 x 100% = 0.005% (rounded off)
Assuming the legendary drop rate is 1% - you have a 0.00005% chance of finding a (future) 20SP Prism in a loot chest. Thus, you're fourteen times more likely to find a mythic than you are to find a Prism that, when rolled, will give you 20SP.
For the sake of this thread, let's assume balance changes to mythics have been implemented and the average price for a mythic is 5 Stacks.
If prices vary linearly according to percentage drop chance, a 20SP prism would be worth 70 stacks.
For comparison, a 20SP prism pre-update was worth around 1.5 stacks. Hence, it's about a 4600% increase in price.
Even if the legendary drop rate is 10% - unrealistically optimistic - the Prism would be worth 7 stacks.

Random fact: The chance you have of getting no stats with 4SP on a prism is 47% - nearly half. The easiest to get combination of SP for a 16sp prism (the baseline of 'sellable' pre-patch) is 3-3-3-3-4 in no particular order of stat. This means you have a ~0.16% chance to get the most likely roll for a 16SP. If you roll the prism to [3], you have a ~0.5% chance of getting aforementioned roll on one of the three rolls.

7/4 MR 20% Aquarius chance: 0.01^2 x 100% = 0.01%. Same formula as just now - you have a 0.0001% chance of finding a future godly aquarius in a loot chest. A godly aquarius would thus be worth around 35 stacks. Comparison - godly aquarius pre-update was 1 stack. The increase is 3500%.

Now, here's the fun one.

I'm sure you all have heard of the fabled 100SP Blue Mask. Unfortunately, that blue mask has taken a very large L. Hence, the time has come to do some minecraft calculations.
20SP roll for Blue Mask is 1% (very good choice yes haha). The chance of rolling a 100sp blue mask is thus 0.00000001%.
I mentioned that you'd find 7000 mythics before you found a 100sp mask in Discord. I was wrong. You'll find 70,000 mythics before you find a 100sp mask.
Once again, we're assuming that a Mythic is 5 stacks. Here is where the above information is used.
One empty class has 29 empty slots in their inventory, plus two more for mythic armour. One non-donator account has 5 classes. Assume that on average, a class takes 5 minutes to get from Caravan to Ragni Bank - the earliest bank you can access. One fully upgraded bank - costing around 1LE to upgrade to max - offers 54 slots. Thus, one account offers 31*5+54 = 209 slots.
70,000/209 = 335 rounded up. You'll need 335 accounts - assuming you don't buy from a shady alt selling website (I doubt they have 335 anyway) you'll spend 335 x 27 = 9045 USD. You'll need to spend over nine thousand USD to store those mythics! You'll also need to spend 335 LE - just a tiny bit more than what you would get from one of those 70,000 mythics. Lastly, you need to spend 335x5x5 = 8375 minutes making those classes. That's 139 hours and 35 minutes, or 5 days 19 hours 35 minutes.
If you, through some sorcery, manage to sell all of those mythics, you'll end up with 350,000 stacks of LE. That's 91750400000 emeralds. You'll need to spend 350,000/199 x 27 = nearly 45,000 dollars on Minecraft accounts to store those.

i don't know guys it almost seems like we can't get good items anymore :thinking:

 

wow cool +5 karma

 

Ok

 

good job you’re experiencing 1/70000 of what it feels like to grind for a 100sp blue mask

 

Wtf charge that divide

 

its actually 7/999999

 

We have more bank space now

 

Is it a good time to point out how relevant my custom tag is for this thread?

 

QUIF MAFHSSSSSSS !!!

 

yeah hey fun fact i sold a godly aquarius for 5 stacks which is considerably less than the 35 i mentioned so guess I'll die