For Today Fate Proved Crueler Than The Last.

captainganon · Jul 17, 2017

elado55 said: ↑

Yes, but the probably i put is getting 2 mythics from a batch of 150 mobs, not one of getting 2 mythics from one mob, as thats literally impossible.
the probability of getting a mythic from a mob is 7/1000000, that hasn't changed here, its just that if you do the math i did you'll end up with a couple tens of millions of batches of these mobs, if you do the same math for the initial number you'll end up with about 1050/1000000 which is 1/1000 - the probability of getting a mythic from a batch of 150 mobs is about 1, and that of getting from a batch 150 mobs 2 mythics, would be 0.0000735 which is kinda close to 1/1000000 but still in a chance in the tens of millions, you can check the math if you want, it would be really easy.
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Chance of getting 2 mythics from 150 mobs is the same as 1 mythic from 75 mobs which is just 525/1000000 or around 1/1904. In other words, out of 1904 "batches" of 75 mobs you should get 1 mythic.

NamesAreHard · Jul 17, 2017

i am very confused

RogP · Jul 18, 2017

@4Bengals got 2 different mythics(spring and ignis) in the same day. Not sure how long it was between the finds though.

kokonut_pi · Jul 18, 2017

captainganon said: ↑

Chance of getting 2 mythics from 150 mobs is the same as 1 mythic from 75 mobs which is just 525/1000000 or around 1/1904. In other words, out of 1904 "batches" of 75 mobs you should get 1 mythic.
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2 Mythics from 150 mobs is not the same as 1 Mythic from 75. That only works with accumulative probability density.

captainganon · Jul 18, 2017

Net_Twerk said: ↑

2 Mythics from 150 mobs is not the same as 1 Mythic from 75. That only works with accumulative probability density.
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just calculating from 2 mythics out of 150 we'd get the same result though
half as likely to get twice as much from the same pool but since it's twice as big it evens out

honestly at this point i've completely forgotten everything about probability and this is probably wrong too
guessing 2/150 =/= 1/75 in probability because of some shit i don't remember

Deciak · Jul 20, 2017

I'm sorry for the criticism, i have confirmed you are correct Major_Lue, I will not delete this post, though.
This is an edit.

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For Today Fate Proved Crueler Than The Last.

Should i apply for GM with that beautiful 3 minute "speech" if you may call it that?

Yes

No

Haven't you done this in a sillier way 3 years ago when you were still a little kid?

R.I.P this post made me cry.

Fuck you, I don't have a mythic either!

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