Guide Horse's Breeding Prices

Your luck is kinda bullshit
I bred a chestnut with a stack

 

Well maybe I'm a bit late but the Power of Computer Science mostly agrees.

I have been interested in this for a long time... this program was written a long time ago. However I never dare to breed my two chestnuts. I don't believe in my luck.

Spoiler: Image Alert

(Monte Carlo Method used, taking average of 10000 actual horse breed simulations.)

Spoiler: Code Alert

Code:

import random
import math

def mtcl(tier,num):
    result=0
    for i in range(num):
        result+=horse(tier)
    count=(result/num)*24
    return (count//64,count%64)

def horse(tier):
    if tier not in [1,2,3,4]:
        return
    lst=[0,0,0,2]
    count=2
    while lst[4-tier]==0:
        for i in range(4):
            if lst[i]==2:
                lst[i]-=2
                lst[4-success(4-i)]+=1
                break
            if i==3:
                lst[i]+=1
                count+=1
    return count

def success(tier):
    ran=random.randint(0,9)
    if ran in [0,1]:
        return tier+1
    elif ran in [7,8,9]:
        if tier==1:
            return 1
        return tier-1
    else:
        return tier

btw the resulting cost of a successful horse breeding is in fact very polarized due to the nature of this system...


(Number of brown horses bought to get a tier-4 horse)

So yeah dare you play with horses u'll get broke in no time.

 

I think you are the fourth or fifth to solve this with a program. (The rest also got similar results).
Due to the nature of the breeding system it is hard to believe that the percentages listed on the websites are correct.
As @thatswhatido said

But you also get players that breed a black with 40le or a white with 3stacks.

 

got a point there

 

And here I am, spending 12le's getting only Tier 1 horses :P

 

dont lock this thread tho, this thread has some substance and very crucial information

 

I'd almost want it pinned XD

 

He is what I call a NecroMancer

 

This thread is on the verge of being immortal.

 

Thanks for making this!

 

You're welcome

 

lets calculate the price of horses back when the vip horse merchant was a thing.

Black Horse
1le

Chestnut Horse
10*1le=10le for a chestnut before we subtract the other horses
2.5 blacks =2.5le
1.5 browns =36eb
chestnut costs 444eb or 6le and 60eb

White Horse
10*444eb=4440eb (69le and 24eb) before subtracting additional horses
2.5 chestnuts = 1110eb (17le and 22eb)
1.5 blacks = 1.5le
white costs 3234eb or 50le and 34eb

 

lets bump this thread before it gets locked

 

I trought this thread was true but now.. that i breed my horses... i can say it's all false. He say that 1 black horse cost 2.25le. I went to the horse merchant with my money what i got? 3 Black horse. Yep.

 

a couple of points

• I am a he.
• you were extremely lucky as 2.25le is the minimum amount need to breed 3 blacks.
• 2.25le is the amount breeding a black costs on average its a matter of statistics.
• you can go over my math if you want, you wont be the first.
• keep breeding.

 

I was just joking xD. Well now i have 4 black horses , i tryed another time and AGAIN ANOTHER BLACK HORSE!!

Want know the curiosity of case? (sorry for bad english)
If yes click here...

Spoiler

Yestday, i spent 10le on horses. Got 2 black, then nothing.

\

________________________________

OMG OMG I JUST GOT A CHESTNUT , WHO CAN STOP ME

 

statistics can stop you

 

Now i'm too scaried to continue to breed them. Anyways if i got a white horse with 2le i'm the lucky person in this world. On wynn i mean

 

Only that isn't possibly
Minimum possible LE to breed a White is 3 :3

 

Forgot to say that i also had a brown and black horse (so 4 black horses)